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Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) have been affected in recent weeks. On January 21, the day after the inauguration of the president of the United States, Trump, the shares of Tesla traded for $ 424. At the time of writing, the action is $ 258. This means that the action has dropped 39% during the six -week period. As such, an investment of £ 10,000 then would be worth only £ 6,100 now. In fact, given the appreciation of the pound during the period, the figure adjusted by Forex would be closer to £ 5,700. Needless to say, but this would be a very disappointing investment result.
So why has it happened?
The Chief of Tesla, Elon Musk, has a position within the new administration and apparently the ability to exercise influence government policy. This may have driven some retail investors after Trump's elections, but emotion is fading. And there are more factors at stake.
Deterioration of the foundations paint a worrying image
The latest figures show that Tesla's foundations are deteriorating. Analysts have drastically reduced the profits of 2025 due to the prognosis per share of only $ 2.85, which is 66% amazing lower than estimates two years ago and 12% below the projections of mid -January. Revenue estimates have been reviewed at $ 4.3 billion to $ 112 billion.
In addition to investors' concerns, three experts in Tesla, including Elon's brother, Kimbal, have planned significant sales sales by 2025 for an approximate value of $ 300 million. These planned sales, while they are scheduled in advance, are obliged to damage the confidence of investors.
The assessment remains stratospheric despite the decline
Despite the recent setback, Tesla's valuation metrics remain striking. The current relationship ratio to profits (p/e) is located 108 times, based on 12 months of $ 2.23 per share. While this represents a 21% discount on the five -year historical P/E TESLA of 138 times, it remains dramatically higher than competitors and other technological giants.
Meanwhile, the P/E-E-Grenel relationship of Tesla, which measures the price in relation to the growth of profits, is located in 6.6, significantly better than it was a couple of months ago, but still very high compared to traditional car manufacturers and other technologies and even ai companies.
The compression margin threatens growth history
Tesla's operational margin has contracted alarmingly, from a peak of 16.8% in 2022 to only 7.2% in 2024, with the margin of Q4 falling to 6.2%. This erosion of the margin reflects intense price pressure and the company's struggle to maintain profitability while pursuing affordability. The automotive gross benefit situation is particularly worrying. In the fourth quarter of 2024, Tesla generated $ 3.29 billion in automotive gross profits, less than what produced in the third quarter of 2021 ($ 3.67 billion) with half of the deliveries. This decrease in dramatic efficiency explains why the power of Tesla's profits has weakened despite the greatest deliveries.
The verdict: proceed with extreme caution
Tesla remains a polarizing investment. Bulls points to the next projects such as the Robotaxi driver in Austin this June, while Bears highlights the company's valuation disconnection, the decrease in the margins and the tempered of the management of growth expectations.
Although Musk has called 2025 Tesla's “The most crucial year“, The realities of decelerating growth and intensifying competition suggest that investors should approach with extreme caution. In addition, with Musk distracted by Dege and Spacex, among other things, the future of Tesla (Robotaxis and Robotics) is not being sold as well as it has been.
Despite my personal appreciation by Tesla as a brand, at the current levels, the risks of action simply exceed possible rewards. I will not add the actions to my portfolio.
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