ethereum price has encountered a major hurdle at the critical resistance at $2,400, leading to an extended consolidation phase within this fundamental range.
This situation and the bullish sentiment in the futures market have increased expectations of a possible bullish breakout.
By shayan
ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
A close examination of ethereum's daily chart reveals a period of upward consolidation, with the price approaching substantial resistance at $2,400. This zone includes the static resistance at $2,400 and lines up with the upper boundary of a multi-month wedge pattern, forming a solid barrier. Despite this, eth is showing bullish momentum, attempting to break out of this crucial range. A successful breakout could see the price reclaim the $2,400 resistance, setting the stage for a fresh bullish rise.
However, considering the bearish divergence between the price and the RSI indicator, there is still a possibility of a bearish reversal.
Despite overall bullish market conditions, a sudden rejection can trigger a sustained cascade towards the 100- and 200-day moving averages. Therefore, caution is advised during these market conditions, given the potential for sudden impulsive moves.
The 4 hour chart
Examining the 4-hour chart, ethereum appears to be confined within a critical range, capped by substantial support at $2.1K and significant resistance at $2.4K, resulting in sideways consolidation. Notably, the $2.100 level aligns with the crucial range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, acting as a notable barrier against the sellers.
Despite this consolidation, the price has risen recently, reaching its previous high near the $2,440 mark. However, the outcome depends on whether buyers can reclaim the $2,400 resistance. If successful, an upward trend is likely. On the contrary, a rejection could cause the market to fall towards the lower threshold of the range.
By shayan
ethereum's recent price performance has been notably bullish, bringing the market closer to the $2.4 resistance region. However, a recent move towards a prolonged consolidation phase has raised questions among market participants as to whether this marks the end of the medium-term bullish phase or is simply a correction.
Examining sentiment in the futures market becomes crucial to addressing this uncertainty. The chart provided illustrates funding rates, a valuable metric that indicates sentiment in the futures market by showing whether buyers or short sellers are executing orders more aggressively. Positive values generally indicate bullish sentiment, while negative values suggest pessimism among futures traders.
Notably, funding rates have been consistently positive, with recent trends showing an upward trajectory, indicating increased bullish sentiment in perpetual markets and fueling expectations of a bullish breakout. However, caution is advised as excessively high funding rates could be interpreted as a bearish signal.
This scenario suggests that the market could be on the verge of a long cascade of liquidations. If such liquidations occur, the price is likely to see a rapid decline towards the 200-day and 100-day moving averages. Monitoring these metrics becomes crucial to anticipate possible changes in market dynamics and adjust strategies accordingly.
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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