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In a price prediction <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/dunleavy89/status/1866856304146289006″ target=”_blank” rel=”nofollow”>shared In to advance blockchain. adoption, with investments spanning notable entities such as Coinbase, Kraken, Ripple, Circle and Bitfinex.
Dunleavy's forecast places bitcoin (btc) at a target of $250,000 and ethereum (eth) at $12,000 by the end of 2025. Additionally, he anticipates Solana (SOL) to reach $700. These projections are supported by analysis that draws parallels between historical economic changes and current political movements within the United States.
Dunleavy draws a comparison to the 1970s in the United States, specifically referencing President Nixon's termination of the gold standard in 1971 as a fundamental economic change. “If we look at the 1970s in the US, then President Nixon's end of the gold standard in 1971 could be seen as a turning point similar to the change we see with the administration's adoption of cryptocurrencies Trump,” Dunleavy said.
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He noted that after Nixon's action, gold prices increased approximately six-fold in three years before experiencing a decline, eventually reaching a peak of twenty times the initial value at the end of the decade. Dunleavy suggests that a comparable trajectory could develop for bitcoin and altcoins under the next administration's policies.
Quarterly bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Predictions for 2025
First quarter of 2025: MV Global anticipates a strong bullish trend driven by growing enthusiasm around the new administration. “Trump's first 100 days led us to realize that the crypto agenda is really a priority,” Dunleavy explained.
He expects a quick start to the market, facilitated by the Biden administration's cooperation in the transition process. Major legislative developments are anticipated within the first 100 days, particularly regarding market structure and stablecoins.
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“We also give a higher likelihood of significant progress towards a strategic btc reserve and the game theory of subsequent nation-state adoption,” adds Dunleavy. However, a market correction is expected as the US tax season approaches, with March historically being a challenging month for bitcoin.
Second quarter of 2025: The second quarter is expected to witness a gradual but steady upward movement as institutional investors increasingly enter this asset class. “Slow but steady march upwards as more institutions join,” Dunleavy writes. It highlights the possible approval of bitcoin and ethereum ETFs by major registered investment advisors (RIAs) and brokerage firms such as Merrill Lynch and Charles Schwab.
“eth leads as the lack of a SOL ETF is a short-term impediment to institutional flows,” he noted, indicating that ethereum may benefit more immediately from institutional adoption compared to Solana.
Third quarter of 2025: The summer is expected to bring a period of consolidation, with prices experiencing sideways movements. “Summer break. Prices are going down,” Dunleavy predicts. The introduction of a Solana spot ETF or other crypto ETFs could provide a catalyst to break this stagnation. The CIO identifies September as a critical month for potential decisions by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which could significantly influence market dynamics.
Fourth quarter of 2025: The final quarter is expected to see a sharp rise towards the end of the year, culminating in a maximum explosion scenario. “Strong gust towards the end of the year. A blow that we believe will extend until the first quarter of 2026. This cycle peaks well into 2026, as passive ETF supply maintains a very solid floor,” Dunleavy concludes.
At the time of publication, btc was trading at $100,812.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com