bitcoin and the US dollar have a long-standing inverse correlation, particularly when looking at the Dollar Strength Index (DXY). When the dollar weakens, bitcoin typically gains strength, and this dynamic could be setting the stage for a restart of btc’s bull cycle.
DXY
He bitcoin-portfolio/btc-vs-dxy-yoy/”>Dollar Strength Index (DXY) It measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of other major world currencies. Historically, a declining DXY has often coincided with significant rallies in the price of bitcoin. Conversely, when the DXY is on the rise, bitcoin tends to enter a bearish phase.
We have recently seen a significant change bitcoin-portfolio/btc-vs-dxy/”>DXY declinewhich could signal a shift towards a more risk-on environment in financial markets. Typically, such a shift is favorable for assets like bitcoin. Despite this drop in the DXY, the price of bitcoin has remained relatively stagnant, raising questions about whether btc could soon experience a rally to catch up.
Change of feeling
Coinciding with the decrease in demand for the US dollar, the bitcoin-macro/bitcoin-cycles-vs-high-yield-credit-cycles/”>high yield credit data suggests a growing demand for higher-yielding corporate bonds. This indicates that investors are more eager for higher yields, and historically this appetite has resulted in more significant capital inflows and higher prices as a result for bitcoin.
Falling behind?
In comparison, bitcoin-macro/sp500-yoy-vs-btc-yoy/”>The S&P 500 bitcoin has seen substantial growth in recent weeks, while bitcoin has remained relatively stagnant. However, the growing correlation between bitcoin and the S&P500 suggests that bitcoin could soon follow the bullish trend we have seen in traditional stocks.
Conclusion
In summary, while bitcoin has been slow to react to the recent decline in the DXY index, overall market conditions suggest the possibility of a bullish phase in our current cycle. We have seen a shift in sentiment among traditional market investors and subsequently a period of outperformance for the S&P500.
It remains to be seen whether the market is overestimating the impact of the dollar's decline, but the potential for a rebound is there.
For a more in-depth look at this topic, check out a recent YouTube video here: Falling US Dollar Will Be the Catalyst for btc Bull Market
