<img src="https://bitcoinmagazine.com/.image/c_fit%2Ch_800%2Cw_1200/MjExNDY1NTAyNzg5MjE2MjQ0/mathematically-predicting-the-bitcoin-price-bull-cycle-peak.jpg” />
The bitcoin bull market is heating up and investors are eagerly seeking data-driven information on when the next bitcoin price peak could occur and how high bitcoin could rise. In a recent analysis video published by bitcoin Pro Magazinesenior analyst <a target="_blank" href="https://x.com/BitcoinMagPro”>Matt Crosby He meticulously crunched the numbers to provide a mathematically supported forecast for the next peak of bitcoin's bull cycle.
By combining historical patterns, moving averages, and diminishing returns, Crosby's research highlights August 24, 2025as a critical date, projecting a price range of $256,000 to $310,000 for bitcoin.
See the full analysis
To explore the detailed mathematical breakdown and see how Matt Crosby arrives at these projections, watch the full video analysis. here.
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator: A Historical Compass
Crosby begins his analysis with the Pi Cycle Top Indicatora tool famous for its accuracy in predicting bitcoin price peaks in just a few days during previous bull markets. The indicator uses two moving averages:
- He 111-day moving average (111DMA).
- He 350-day moving average (350DMA) multiplied by two.
The “Pi” connection arises from the mathematical relationship between these numbers, approximating 3,142. Historically, when the 111DMA crosses above the doubled 350DMA, bitcoin has reached its market cycle peak:
- 2017: Predicted the peak within 1 day.
- 2021: Called the exact day of the peak of the price cycle.
Turn data into predictions
To project the next peak, Crosby introduces the Pi cycle oscillatorwhich quantifies how close the two moving averages are to crossing. Wearing bitcoin Magazine Pro Raw Data APICrosby calculated:
- The exchange rate for moving averages.
- Current trends starting on November 16, 2023, when the oscillator began a new upward trajectory.
Assuming the current trend continues, the two averages will intersect at August 24, 2025marking the probable maximum date of the bullish cycle.
What about the price?
To estimate the price of bitcoin at this projected peak, Crosby examines historical patterns of diminishing returns—a phenomenon where bitcoin price spikes are proportionally smaller with each cycle:
- In 2013, the price of bitcoin was 440% above moving averages.
- In 2017, it fell to 299% up.
- In 2021, it was further reduced to 32% above.
By extrapolating this trend, Crosby provides a variety of possible price outcomes:
- If yields decrease to 28% above moving averages (consistent with previous cycles), bitcoin could peak in $310,000.
- If returns continue to decline at a faster pace, the peak could approach $256,700.
Why this is important for investors
Crosby emphasizes that no analysis is perfect and trends evolve as new market dynamics emerge. Institutional adoption, macroeconomic factors, and unexpected events could reshape this trajectory. However, their analysis offers valuable data-driven roadmap for investors navigating the current bull market.
As the next cycle unfolds, these predictions will become increasingly accurate, providing opportunities for investors to optimize their strategies.
Key takeaways:
- Date prediction: August 24, 2025.
- Peak price range: Between $256,000 and $310,000.
- Indicator: Pi cycle upper and lower oscillator, powered by data from bitcoin Magazine Pro.
For live data, powerful indicators, and more exclusive content, visit BitcoinMagazinePro.com.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
